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Forex forecast and recommendations today 04.12.2019: EURUSD - Is Trump threats are serious ?, GBPUSD


Events that should pay attention today:

18:00 MSK. US: ISM composite index for the non-productive sphere.

The euro dollar forex trading forecast for EURUSD:

Donald Trump on Tuesday continued their threats. At this time, under the hand hit France and China. Trump has performed in London at the NATO conference, where he said that the second economy of the Eurozone does not behave properly and may fall under the tax. About Beijing US President said that he could wait for the conclusion of the transaction is still a year or two, they say it's not in a hurry, and America gets a good fee from China. Is Trump serious threat? In my opinion, no. A few hours after these statements by US President said the United States and France could agree on trade, since the problems are not as big as it may seem at first glance. About China Trump said that he could sign the agreement, but it should be good. Trump is almost three years as president and his strategy has always been in this period is the same: first intimidate and then sit down at the negotiating table and to negotiate for itself on favorable terms. So this time it all intimidated, and after a while said that he was ready to negotiate. How this process will affect the value of the euro. Euro correlated with gold, and precious metal earlier in the week showed an increase of "threats Trump." Who can turn the gold market down and against this background, the euro will show a decline.

EURUSD recommendation: Sell 1.1091 / 1.1114, and take profit 1.1046






Pound to dollar forex forecast GBPUSD today 04/12/2019

The British pound is now the strongest currency in the market. Early parliamentary elections will be held in the UK on December 12, and the lead in many polls the ruling party led by Prime Minister Boris Johnson. Investors are positive on the pound, as the process is complete BREXIT waiting, which began in the summer of 2016 and in three years had all bored. Jones promises to withdraw Britain from ES January 31, 2020 - he believes the market is growing and the pound. Johnson was carried out its promise? Definitely can not say, because once he had missed when promised complete BREXIT October 30. But investors are now looking at the pound is optimistic and ready to buy a pound of December 12, inclusive, that is, before the voting day.

GBPUSD recommendation: Buy 1.2985 / 1.2970, and take profit 1.3038


Dollar against the yen forex prognnoz USDJPY today 12/04/2019

At present, formed a mixed background. On the one hand, it is possible to expect reduction of quotations on the background of the negative dynamics of the debt market, where the yield spread on 10-year United States and Japan, government bonds shows a decline the last two trading days. On the other hand, I expect the downward trend in the precious metals market, which may cause the growth of a given currency pair, as USDJPY has a strong inverse correlation with gold.

USDJPY recommendation: flat 108.34 -108.91



FreshForex analyst 



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