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Main » 2016 » May » 11 » World economy. Factors of instability
World economy. Factors of instability



President of the New York Fed, William Dudley said that the US Federal Reserve will raise rates twice more this year - on the materials AMarkets.




The strong trend in the US labor market continues to gain momentum. In addition, the market there are positive expectations for GDP growth - about 2.5% for the whole of 2016. The United States more or less stable today. Oasis instability today - Japan, where policy rates are increasingly negative criticism. Another probable "horse with a surprise" - Europe, is going through very difficult times. In the coming weeks and months, investors should be especially careful. EU runs the risk of once again become a source of increased turbulence on financial markets.


Moments that are added threats to investors:
* Greek crisis; 
* BREXIT - the outcome of the referendum; 
* unwinding refugee crisis, in which at evroliderov until no idea.

Any moment can cause a strong wave of uncertainty and sales for a variety of asset classes. The traditional summer lull in the financial markets in 2016 will not come until July. More specific danger signals for investors are also present - for example, the dynamics of the index MSCI World EPS. Index falls at the fastest pace, counting from 2009. Over the past two months, the index lost 4%, despite the increase in oil prices. Global corporate income is 14% below the peaks that can be seen in August, 2014. This asset prices 25% higher values ​​in August!

Dynamics MSCI EPS: 



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