It turns out that "consumer code" can help in predicting the results of the elections in the United States - on AMarkets materials. Since 1980, each new "swap" between the leaders of Republicans and Democrats (where some were forced to hand over power to another) occurred against the backdrop of a sharp drop in consumer index University of Michigan .
If current trends continue, the new president will be a representative of the Democratic Party - said Michael McDonough, Bloomberg Intelligence chief economist.
And here's another chart, which has great importance for the forthcoming elections in the United States. The graph shows the fall in the share rabmest in the industrial sector in the total non-agricultural jobs (CNBC data).
And here's another interesting data - the impact of political risk on the global economy. Since 2008, political risks began to exert more and more influence on the growth of the world GDP. It's because more and more weight to GDP is produced in the region of developing countries - the region is much more intense depend on policy than the capitalist world. Eurasia Group analyst estimated the extent of the impact of policies on the global economy in the 2005-2015 period. calculated on the basis of company political risk index - Eurasia Group's Global Political Risk Index. The dark blue line - average value of political risk curve. The risk of an individual country correlated with the purchasing power parity of the country as a share of total GDP. The higher the value - the higher political risk. Vertical columns - developed markets, emerging and developed countries pivot (leaders).