Real consumer spending as a percentage of GDP increased in the United States is very noticeable when seen since 1980. However, this growth was achieved due to the growing debt due to low rates of economic activity - by AMarkets materials.
C 1980 to 2000, household debt, adjusted for inflation, rose from $ 3.8 to $ 9 trillion. At the same time, a key indicator of retail spending in the dynamics of PCE increased from 62% to 65.17%. Simply put, it took about $ 5 trillion of debt to generate a 3.17% increase in the index of PCE to GDP. From 2000 to 2007. index PCE / GDP increased from 65% to 68%. 2.7% increase demanded th indicator of increasing debt to $ 6.46 trillion. When households are already heavily in debt, the economy grow more and more difficult.
Economic growth, driven by consumer debt, declining all the time. The effectiveness of a debt instrument has its legitimate limits. At the same time household incomes are falling, life becoming more expensive - it is clear that Americans will consume less and less every year. We remember here that consumption in retail - it is 70% of the US GDP. With all that the Americans will be less savings for a rainy day - all goes to current expenses. At the same time the size of the consumer credit as a percentage of GDP rose from 17% in 2008 to nearly 20% in 2016. At the same time the private sector debt load increase is not attributable to the growth of the economy.Loans in this case - is from the bad life.