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Main » 2016 » July » 14 » Treasuries market has exhausted itself
Treasuries market has exhausted itself



US bond market surpassed himself, consistently setting several records. The bonds for a total amount of $ 13 billion traded in negative zone rates - on AMarkets materials.

US corporate bonds are not far behind - dived into the range where there were already since the days of Marilyn Monroe.




Schedule - 10-year US notes are too expensive (model Sudoku by Goldman Sachs):


According to experts' estimates Goldman Sachs, the main driving force, which affects the Treasuries, is the external international environment. In particular, the US market bonds marked influence Japanese economy.Monetary easing (buying bonds), conducted by the Bank of Japan. More specifically, the Bank of Japan of QE, increased pressure from the negative rates in the Japanese economy. Goldman believes that the situation with treezheris should straighten the end of the year.

The arguments are as follows:

1. Bonds are far from their "fair value" and should strive for it. Fair value for Treasuries, according to estimates Goldman - about 2.5% yield.

2. Rates of Treasuries will rise after the election campaign in the US, where markets will bounce back, if they understand what to expect from tomorrow.







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