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Main » 2016 » December » 24 » The second wave of consequences Brexit: why analysts are not sure in the future, the pound?
02:54
The second wave of consequences Brexit: why analysts are not sure in the future, the pound?

 

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Despite the fact that the British pound recovered from the post-Brexit lows, analysts warn that the next round of the consequences of «Brexit» Aftershocks may cause currency. 

 

 

As is known, due to the UK decision to withdraw from the European Union, the value of the pound fell to $ 1.1450 in October. 

However, the currency recovered from 30-year lows after an unexpected outcome of the presidential election in the US, reaching levels above $ 1.27 in early December. Prior to election day currency was trading near $ 1.24. 

Still, analysts Japanese finance company Nomura Holdings, Inc. They warn that even current levels may be overly optimistic, noting that determine the market reaction will be very difficult, given the fact that no one even has no idea what will be an agreement between the UK and the EU. "Now the markets are speculating on the hard and soft Brexit», - said in a research note the bank. 

Among the key issues that will determine whether «Brexit» rigid soft or something in between, whether the UK have access to the EU single market, whether to allow the free movement of people, and whether to save financial institutions based in the country's so-called certification of rights? 

"We are concerned that the market is too complacent and optimistic as regards Brexit. Apparently, investors are preparing for a soft exit from the EU countries, although the reasons for this are not many, "- noted in Nomura. 


Analysts also point to the potential damage to the economy. Richard Martin, Managing Director of IMA Asia, in an interview with CNBC said that «Brexit» is for Britain bomb. 

Martin added: "What exactly is understood already in 2017 is the fact that the United Kingdom by his own hands has closed its access to one of the largest markets in the world. The EU, as a market, more than the United States. " 

He noted that at the present time, products made in the UK, can be sent directly to consumers all EU countries without restrictions. «Brexit» change that. 

"As soon as the United Kingdom come from the EU, trade flows will fall. All British goods will be inspected, the company - to pay taxes. And as a result of the UK as a manufacturing base for the European Union will cease to exist. This is not good news. " 

Uncertain prospects for economic and trade - a weak currency. trade flows collapse. All British goods will be inspected, the company - to pay taxes. And as a result of the UK as a manufacturing base for the European Union will cease to exist. This is not good news. " Uncertain prospects for economic and trade - a weak currency. trade flows collapse. All British goods will be inspected, the company - to pay taxes. And as a result of the UK as a manufacturing base for the European Union will cease to exist. This is not good news. " Uncertain prospects for economic and trade - a weak currency. 

 

Based on materials WELTRADE

 

 

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