MarketWatch economists have pointed out that the S & P 500 broad market crossed the mark of above 2100 in at least 30 cases over the past 18 months , but every time I came back. At the same time the growth was no apparent news or fundamental reason - based on AMarkets.
At the moment there are no preconditions for market growth (from the point of view of macroeconomic or corporate profits), however, the paper is already trading at a multiplier of 24X to total income index. Even a small increase of 5% already would lead to a multiplier value of 26X high of May 2015.
Earnings per share in the last quarter were 12% below the same period in 2015 - $ 87 vs. $ 99. This figure is 18% below the cyclical peak reached in September 2014.
The bottom line - the recent rise in the index S & P500 - a purely speculative point. Drivers - trading robots and intraday speculators. The rally does not symbolize improved financial conditions. This is just another episode of irrational nerve growth preceding the cruel sale.