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Main » 2018 » May » 23 » The euro dollar technical outlook EUR / USD today 23/05/2018: Trump called flight to safety assets
The euro dollar technical outlook EUR / USD today 23/05/2018: Trump called flight to safety assets


Results of the last trading day:

In the Tuesday, May 22, trading in the euro closed lower. During the European session the price rose to 1.1830. Beside him it was trading for three hours. By the American session, the euro has lost all the profits. a couple of pressure again had political tensions in Italy. At this time, the sale brought news that Paolo Savona, 81-year-old economist and former minister, may become the Minister of Economy and Finance of Italy.





Planned statistics (GMT +3):

From 10:00 to 11:00 will leave indexes of business activity in the manufacturing and service sectors in May in France, Germany, the euro zone.

At 11:00 will perform RBA Philip Lowe.

At 11:30 UK will present the consumer price index, the retail price index, the index Producer Price Index and the Producer Price April.

At 13:00 UK will publish the index of retail sales according to the CBI for May.

At 16:45 the US will publish the index of business activity in the manufacturing sector and business activity index for the services sector in May.

At 17:00 the Eurozone will present indicator of consumer confidence in May, and the US - data on changes in sales volume of new buildings in April.

At 17:30 the US will report on changes in stocks of oil according to the Ministry of Energy.

At 21:00 will be released FOMC minutes of the meeting.


Fig. 1 euro / dollar, hour period. Data source: TradingView

With 1.1830 euro landed on LB line or 45th grade. In Asia, the euro fell to 1.1750. The fall of the major currencies triggered risk aversion. Trump expressed dissatisfaction with trade negotiations with China and uncertainty about a meeting with North Korean leader.

Nevertheless, I consider the forecast recovery of the euro to 1.1796. The strength of the movement will depend on the US data on inflation and the FOMC minutes. The protocol will be the main event of the day.

I also drew attention to the fall in the morning yields of 10-year US bonds. It fell from 3.06% to 3.03%. If negativity from Italy will not be restored to the euro. Here it is necessary to act on the situation. And now write one to change one setting, and run another script.

I jinxed. The euro fell to 1.1734. Correct Prediction and publish on the channel. This is not looking. The euro may gain support as a funding currency. Here it is necessary to follow the stock indices. Now it falls to all. The only plus of the yen and the franc. In crosses with the euro mixed picture. For one euro currencies strengthened, to the other - is weakened.


Forecast EUR / USD rate today Vladislav Antonov Alpari




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