Results of the last trading day:
On Friday, April 13, trading on the single currency ended slightly up. The pair traded mixed in the price range of 1.2307 - 1.2346, which was due to the absence of new drivers.
The euro came from previously published minutes of the March meeting of the ECB, and the support has been disappointing US data. In April, the index of consumer sentiment fell more than expected. Bidding ended en laundered 1.2329.
Planned statistics (GMT +3):
At 10:15 Switzerland will present the producer price index and import for March.
At 15:30 the US will declare the change in retail sales in March, and will publish the index of manufacturing activity from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in April.
At 19:00 a speech FOMC members Kaplan and Kashkari.
20:15 In a speech made by members of FOMC Bostic.
At 23:00 the US will be informed about the change in the net and the total volume of purchases of US securities by foreign investors in February.
Fig. 1 euro / dollar, hour period. Data source: TradingView
On Friday, the price has passed through an alternative scenario. Geopolitical tensions around Syria declined, so no new drivers, the price was trading around all day carrying lb. line
On Saturday, April 14, the US, Britain and France have fired missiles at civilian and military sites in Syria. Since the victims were not, with the Russian side clashes followed, the markets opened on Monday is relatively quiet.
At the time of writing, the euro is worth 1.2337 review. Given the hour patterns and cycles, as well as indicators from the daily TF, according to the forecast of the euro is expected to decline to 1.23 to the closing of the day.
On the hourly TF trend line passes through 1.2320. There are risks to defend from it and go up to the 45th degree (1.2356). Watch necessary for the opening of trading in Europe, as well as the dynamics of crosses with the euro and the dollar. Now sold in euros crosses evrofunt and euro / yen, buying - in euro / Aussie pairs, EUR / CHF and EUR / Canadian. Dollar mixed dynamics. It strengthens the franc, Canadian and Euro cheaper - the yen, Australians and New Zealanders. Scenario reduction is canceled at the closing hours above 1.2360.
Forecast EUR / USD today of Vladislav Antonov Alpari