Results of the last trading day EUR / USD:
For the week the major currencies have shown an increase, safe-haven showed a decrease. The Australian dollar rose against the dollar by 0.97%, the Euro by 0.75%, the New Zealand dollar - 0.44%, the Canadian dollar - 0.42% and the British pound - to 0.32%. The Japanese yen fell by 0.27%, the Swiss franc - by 0.23%.
On Friday, the EUR / USD pair closed higher. During the day, there were two strong "bullish" impulse. The first impulse was recorded in the Asian session, the second - on the European. They strengthened the euro against the dollar to 1.1324. In the American session buyers retreated from the high to 1.1293. Correction of EUR / USD pair has caused a partial profit taking before the weekend.
In April, the consumer sentiment index was 96.9 points compared to 98.4 in March (forecast was 98.0).
Planned statistics (GMT + 3):
At 13:00 released the monthly report of the Bundesbank.
At 15:30 the US will publish the index of manufacturing activity from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in April.
At 17:30 in Canada will review economic conditions and prospects of development of business of the Bank of Canada in the first quarter.
At 19:00 will be the speech of a member of the Monetary Policy Jonathan Haskell.
At 20:00 he will make a speech FOMC member Charles Evans.
At 23:00 the US will publish data on changes in net and total long-term purchases of US securities by foreign investors in February.
The current situation is EUR / USD:
On Fridays, expectations have been met. EUR / USD closed higher. Most likely at 1.1324 the upward movement was not completed. Today is Monday - the first day of the trading week. Since in Asia the euro strengthened against the US dollar, then at the auctions in Europe is expected to fall rate EUR / USD to the balance sheet line lb followed up the rebound. Here we consider the formation of a three-wave formation from 1.1324 to 1.1284. From the support area 1.1280 / 85, you can aim at 1.1365 and 1.1390. The fall of the EUR / USD to 45 degrees significantly reduce the likelihood of further growth in the euro / dollar.
There is another alternative: increasing the EUR / USD quotes to the level 1.1337, which will begin a new downward correction to 1.1270.
Forecast EUR / USD today Vladislav Antonov Alpari