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Main » 2018 » October » 4 » The euro dollar technical outlook EUR / USD today 04.10.2018: EURUSD course price approx izhaetsya to the daily trend line
10:20
The euro dollar technical outlook EUR / USD today 04.10.2018: EURUSD course price approx izhaetsya to the daily trend line

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Results of the last trading day EURUSD:


On Wednesday, 3 October, the euro trading ended falling EURUSD. At auction in Europe, the euro fell to 1.1560 at US session - up to 1.1465. Drop in prices was caused by the positive statistics published in the United States, as well as soaring yields on 10-year bonds.


The number of new jobs in the private sector from ADP and the index of business activity in the service sector exceeded the projected levels. The yield on US government bonds rose to 3.17%, in Asia - to 3.21%. I do not rule out that the yield increased in response to statements by the US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Statistically she has not yet been raised. He said that the central bank is far from neutral interest rates, hinting at a tough policy of the bank in 2019.

 

 

According to the report of Automatic Data Processing (ADP), the number of employed in September increased by 230 thousand. (Forecast was 185 thousand., The previous value is revised from 163 thousand. To 168 thousand).

index of business activity in the US service sector, which is calculated by the Institute of Supply Management (ISM), in September rose to 61.6 points from 58.6 points in August.

 

Planned statistics (GMT + 3):  

At 15:30 the US announced a change in the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits.

At 16:15 in the US will give a speech c FOMC member Randall Kvarls.

At 17:00 Canada will release PMI managers from Ivey in September, and the US - Statement of Changes in volume of industrial orders in August.

 

Fig. 1 hourly chart of EUR / USD


Current Situation EURUSD:


This week, "my antenki" lost to the frequency with the market. If I do not understand it, I do not make predictions. As the market price swings in different directions on the statements of officials, I put in the daily chart of EUR / USD in the review. It clearly shows that sellers keep EURUSD exchange rate to the lower channel line AA. it is in today's bar passes through the 1.1450 level, the trend line - through 1.1390. Given the speed of the weakening euro against the dollar, the price will meet with the trend (TR from 1,0340) in the region of 1.14. Fibonacci correction was more than 61.8% to the growth of a 1.1301 to 1.1815. Fib 76.4% - 1.1420 (about trendline). From this area, we can expect a rebound.

 

EURUSD forecast today Vladislav Antonov Alpari

 

 

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