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Main » 2016 » September » 26 » Technical analysis and forex forecast on 27.09.2016: EUR / USD, GBP / USD, USD / JPY, oil, gold, indices
Technical analysis and forex forecast on 27.09.2016: EUR / USD, GBP / USD, USD / JPY, oil, gold, indices



Technical analyst EUR / USD 27.09.2016


The euro rose in price after the publication of the index of business climate in Germany by IFO. These exceeded the forecast, allowing the euro to level the previous losses. The euro / dollar on Monday continued trading in sideways aversion of market participants from risky currencies.



Current situation

On Monday the euro medium-term positive sentiment remained. The pair continued its recovery after the rebound from the level 1.1200. Price came close to the mark of 1.1250 in the middle of the European session and has broken it at the beginning of the American session. EMA-50, 100-EMA-EMA 200 and remains neutral. All lines are the support for the pair. Resistance is at 1.1300, support - at 1.1250.


The MACD histogram has increased, which indicates the strengthening of customer positions. RSI close to overbought.


The forecast euro dollar

Confident breakdown of the top level of 1.1250 will allow customers to continue to strengthen positions. Buyers can raise the price to 1.1300.



Technical analyst GBP / USD 27.09.2016


The American currency retreats before the counter currency, as investors continue to analyze the decision of the US regulator to postpone monetary tightening. On Monday, the market focus is on candidates debate in the US presidential.

The current situation

on the trading session on Monday maintained the downward pressure. The pair GBP / USD leveled all the achievements on Friday and fell sharply from local maxima to the next support 1.2900. Price stuck in post-Brekzit short-term consolidation. 50 EMA 100 EMA and the 200 EMA maintained their bearish bias and continued to decline in the 4-hour chart. Resistance is located at 1.3000, support - at 1.2900. 

The MACD has decreased, which indicates the position gain sellers. RSI consolidated in the negative zone.


Pound Dollar Forecast

If pressure on the pair GBP / USD continues, the price will continue the downward movement. The immediate objective is to support area 1.2900, and the next Target is near 1.2800.



Technical analyst, and the forecast for USD / JPY on 09/27/2016


Monetary instrument USD / JPY retreated to the lowest level in relation to risk aversion. Demand for the yen as a safe asset has increased, despite the head of the BoJ comments on the bank's readiness to resort to further monetary easing if necessary.

Current situation

sentiment of risk aversion supports the interest in buying yen. Price dropped from the Asian high 101.00 to 100.40 support area, where the downward movement is stopped. 50 EMA 100 EMA and the 200 EMA accelerated its decline. All the moving average continues downward movement on the 4-hour chart. Resistance is located at 101.40 and 100.40 in support.


Indicators continue to the southern movement in the negative zone. MACD remained at the same level, which indicates the position gain sellers. RSI remained above the oversold zone.

Forecast of the dollar, the yen

overall mood remains bearish. A close below the 100.40 level will lead to losses of up to otmetki100.00. If the support stand, the USD / JPY pair may rebound to 101.40.




Technical analysis and forecast gold rate today 27/09/2016


At the beginning of the new week, gold futures traded mixed, but remained close to previous highs. Investors took a wait in front of TV debates candidates for the presidency of America. 

Current situation

Gold prices were mixed. Quotations remained in a narrow range between the levels of 1332 and 1340. After the price rollback again attempted to overcome the mark of 1340. However, the pair came under selling pressure in any attempt to increase this level. 50 EMA crosses the 100 EMA and the 200 EMA on the 4-hour chart. Moving averages are directed upwards. Resistance is located at 1340 support -. To $ 1,330 per ounce 

MACD is in the positive zone. RSI is consolidated in the overbought zone.


Forecast for today gold

if the price exceeds the level of 1340, the medium-term bearish outlook will be neutralized. In case of breakdown of the mark in 1340, the following Target will be the level in 1350.





Technical analysis and forecast of oil BRENT on 09/27/2016


On Monday, crude oil futures showed an upward correction after the rapid weakening on Friday. Market analyzes the potential conclusion of the agreement between the major oil-exporting countries to reduce the volume of "black gold" production.  The current situation


oil prices were in the downlink. Bearish sentiments prevail on the 4-hour chart. Quotes of Brent crude oil held Asian session in a narrow corridor between the levels of 45.80 and 46.50. Prices came under buying pressure on the European session on Monday. However, the bullish momentum faded in 47.00. Quotes are between the 50 EMA and the 100 EMA on the 4-hour chart. 200 EMA moves upwards on said time frame. Resistance is located at 47.50 and support - to 46.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD is at zero level. If the histogram will enter the positive zone that will point to the strengthening of the positions of buyers. If MACD returns into negative territory, control of the market will revert to the sellers. RSI remained in the neutral zone.

Oil is forecast for today

, Brent crude oil prices may recover to the level of 47.50. Breakdown level of 47.50 will open the way to 48.00. If the sellers will reduce prices below 46.50, the downward movement may continue in the area of 45.30.





NASDAQ Index Technical Analysis and Forecast on 09.27.2017

Stock Indices on Wall Street at the opening of trading on Monday fell against the background of the debates on the US presidency, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.


The current situation

index came under selling pressure since the beginning of the trading day. Sellers lowered the price in the area 4800, breaking the mark of 4835. 50-EMA stopped the downward movement. 50-EMA has accelerated its growth.100 EMA and the 200 EMA remain mild bullish bias. Resistance at index 4835, support at 4800. 

the MACD has decreased, which indicates the position gain sellers. RSI reached oversold zone.


Forecast  NASDAQ today

can expect short-term correction and continue the downward movement. The level of 4800 is the next target with sellers. In case of recovery the price could rise to 4,850.





Based on materials from Fort Financial Services 


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