I have the so-called time BREXIT Lehmann - a rhetorical question - on AMarkets materials.
Is the "populist revolt" in Britain catalyst for a great future change? Or is it a final rally in risky assets ahead of the market and waiting for the next wave of monetary stimulus? - Says the expert ZeroHedge.
Economic weakness always leads to a drop in assets in the stock market. To mask the crisis of politics, as a rule, start monetary easing, creating an illusion, albeit virtual, but growth. Under normal conditions, S & P500 at the level of 1700 would mean waiting for QE to support shares. The index at the level of 2150 means that no one will expect anything. And the economic conditions are far from normal. To have a significant monetary stimulus for the global equity market, it has to come at the same time in Japan, the EU and China. Bearer of the fiscal stimulus will be, of course, Japan.
In the medium term, a major economic stimulus of the country of the Rising Sun will inflirovanie. For the EU, it would have worked, too. However, in Europe more difficult. There are peripherals that are constantly sinks, absorbing all new loans from the EU pivot players. To Europe's collapse did not happen in the foreseeable future, the leaders (Germany in particular) need to close our eyes to the regular money "milked" from the south of Europe. It is necessary to turn a blind eye to the growing deficits and endless debt restructuring and recapitalization of banks.
It is important to understand - politicians have no other economic instruments, in addition to monetary stimulus.If so - then this whole thing sooner or later will end hyperinflation and sophisticated middle class. The poor, of course, also will become even poorer. And all this in the resulting rigid popular uprisings, revolutions, wars.