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Main » 2015 » November » 19 » Outlook: EUR / USD - serious correction
Outlook: EUR / USD - serious correction

The results of the last trading day:

On Wednesday, the EUR / USD could not hold on to the balance sheet line lb.Before the publication of the minutes of the last FOMC meeting, the euro fell from 1.0691 to 1.0622. After the protocol evromedvedi upgraded seven-month low.



There is nothing new in the report did not contain. Most members of the Committee expects that the labor market and inflation in the United States will create the conditions for a first rate hike at the December meeting.


Market expectations for today:

Ricochet 90 points from a low of 1.0616 technical picture has changed not only the clock but also on the daily chart. There is no desire to sell the euro in such a situation. As part of the corrective movement forward to a return to the course line U3 - 1,0765.

News of the day:

  • From 11:00 to 11:30 MSK will include representatives of the ECB - Jens Weidmann, Benoit Kerr, Peter Prat.
  • At 12:30 MSK will publish the UK retail sales for October.
  • At 15:30 MSK - report from a meeting of the ECB's monetary policy.
  • At 16:30 MSK in the US are the primary treatment for unemployment insurance.
  • At 18:00 MSK - Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index for November.


Technical analysis

  • Intraday goals: maximum - 1.0765, at least - 1.0654 (current in Asia), closure - 1.0730.
  • Intraday volatility over the last 10 weeks: 103 points (4 digits);


Euro / dollar has updated seven-month low. Sellers are not go lower than 1.0600, began to close short positions because of disagreements among FOMC members on the timing of a rate hike. It was broken yesterday's high 1.0691, so expect further recovery of the euro. Since the Stochastic Oscillator is above and in Asia are actively selling dollar in Europe is expected to decline of up to 1.0675, and then increase to the line U3 - 1,0765.



Analysis Alpari
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