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Main » 2016 » August » 4 » Japan and its debt
09:21
Japan and its debt

 

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the sovereign debt problem is the most important for the country of the Rising Sun - on AMarkets materials.

 

 

The indicator of debt to GDP in the Japanese economy - it is something around 240%! And I must say, the risks of escalation of the Japanese debt and possible after-effects have already started to talk when the figure was 120%. But 240% - this is 2 times more ... However, against the background of negative interest rates one is not particularly worried about a possible default - says economist Jared Dillian. Interestingly, the rate could be much higher if the Bank of Japan did not buy a large part of gosbondov. default scenario is unlikely - that happen, the Bank of Japan simply exchange the bonds for all one "giant" zero-coupon bonds with the expiration date is close to infinity. It's like to announce publicly that the debt was, but splyl. In this case, Japan from index 240% debt / GDP indicator will move to cool 40% debt / GDP ratio. And then, according to Dilliana, Japan will return to the policy of the 90's - that is, figuratively speaking, will again build bridges and roads to nowhere.

 

Problem escalation of the sovereign debt spread globally. It is relevant, in particular, for most of Europe. If Japan "forgive" his own debt, it will create a very important precedent. Japanese example runs the risk of viral spread.For the investor it all will mean only one thing - never in this life you can no longer buy government securities.

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