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Main » 2015 » September » 16 » Inflirovanie assets. How dangerous the current bubble in the United States?
Inflirovanie assets. How dangerous the current bubble in the United States?

Most of America's publicly traded companies are overvalued. Numerous rounds of easing conducted by the US Federal Reserve, pushed the investment bankers to the massive infusion in the US stock market - on the materials AMarkets.



As a result, the US stock market was formed a big bubble. According to the calculations of hedge manager Boris Marjanovic (it refers to a financial blog ZeroHedge), the current level of the indicator price per share / earnings - Shiller P / E - currently hovering around ~ 28x. The same high level seen at the peak of the housing bubble in 2007. And it's 65% more than the historical average at urovne16.6x.

Below - a graph where the red broken lines indicate historical average P / E. Blue curve - the dynamics of P / E of Schiller. Noting the key indicator of the peaks - in the 20s, in the moment before by the collapse of the dot-com bubble, when the price of the peak in the real estate sector and the current maximum. 


Current bubble dangerous by the fact that the mass market assets poorly diversified. Hedge funds and investment banks holding the same paper. Moreover, the individual positions have the preponderance of steep - so the stock Apple (Room №1 capitalization in S & P500) constitute 50% or more in the portfolios of investors.

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