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Main » 2018 » March » 20 » Gold, the dollar and the US Federal Reserve. What Dr. elat investors?
Gold, the dollar and the US Federal Reserve. What Dr. elat investors?


Gold prices remain under pressure due to the behavior of the US dollar and the low degree of market interest in defensive assets. But this does not mean that the precious metals are no longer relevant to the purchase as a hedging instrument or asset to invest for the long term. This means that the market wants "fast" money, and the macroeconomic situation allows them to get. Gold is still investment for the patient and ready to wait, without making any sudden movements.





By March 20 troy ounce of gold is trading at $ 1316.00, while continuing to decline. March lows is at $ 1303.60, the same level is an area of key supports. It runs along the boundary of $ 1300 $ 1303. According to estimates, "Alpari Gold" in the medium term, gold will be concluded in the framework of the "outset" $ 1300 $ 1342 , the top value is also a resistance level.

One of the main catalysts that form the fluctuations in gold prices, the US dollar remains the behavior. In the next few days, "American" can be very mobile today begins a meeting of the US Federal Reserve, which will most likely be decided to increase the interest rate by 25 basis points. But the intrigue is not even in this: the market is waiting for indications of a more aggressive approach to the revision of interest with tavok - not three times in 2018, as previously assumed, but four. All that is said in this direction the Fed will necessarily priced in the major currency pairs and gold prices as well.

And the harder will be the Fed's intentions in terms of rates and other measures, the better it will be for the dollar. Consequently, the gold has a certain chance to drop in the near future, but it is unlikely following areas Supports $ 1300 $ 1303.

The price of silver by 20 March remain near the bottom of the medium-term trading range of $ 16,12- $ 16,95. This morning, the basic movements of silver are about $ 16.33. To date, the physical demand for silver from the industrial sector in the world is growing irregularly, and that does not allow to develop high-grade precious metal reinforcement, as previously thought. The demand for silver as an asset "safe harbor" too little, even though it is present to some extent. In all of this in silver is now a greater chance of local reduction and consolidation within the range of $ 16,20- $ 16,55 than rapid growth.


Anna Bodrov Alpari



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