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Main » 2016 » September » 13 » Forex forecast for today 13.09.2016: EUR / USD - buy, GBP / USD - sell!
Forex forecast for today 13.09.2016: EUR / USD - buy, GBP / USD - sell!



Forex. Weather forecast on September 13, 2016


Top Stories traders today:

  • 02.50 MSK. Japan: BSI index of business conditions for large manufacturers for the 3rd quarter (previous value of -11.1; -6.5 forecast).
  • 11:30 MSK. UK: Consumer price index for August (the previous value of 0.6% y / y; the forecast of 0.7% y / y).
  • 12.00 MSK. Germany: Consumer Sentiment Index in the business environment from the ZEW Institute in September (the previous value of 0.5; forecast 2.8).


Forex forecast pair EUR USD EUR / USD September 13, 2016


Today the foreign exchange market, forex traders have two reasons to wait for the growth of the dollar the euro:


First, the index ZEW data will be released probably better median forecast on the background of activity growth in the German economy. Moderately positive dynamics PMI index from Markit suggests continued economic growth. This suggests that the representatives of German business has already taken into account in their expectations of the United Kingdom's withdrawal from the ES, as the previous release of the ZEW came out very weak. The only thing that causes concern - a reduction in the growth rate of Germany's trade balance surplus in the first seven months to 0.6% y / y. Secondly, today m ozhno expected to yield a moderately negative data on inflation in the UK in August, which in turn will boost cross rate quotation EUR / GBP and have a positive impact on the value of the euro in tandem with greenbacks.


Investors recommendations on the euro dollar : Today the foreign exchange market players should buy the pair EUR / USD Buy on the reduction of quotations to 1.1215 / 1.1185 and take profit at the level of 1.1255.



Forex forecast the currency pair Pound Dollar GBP / USD today 09/13/2016


Today, the Briton will probably show moderate decline amid negative inflation data. Today's consensus forecast of economists, investment banks suggests the rise in consumer prices compared with July by 0.4%, which seems difficult to achieve amid gasoline prices decrease by 2% m / m. Just a summer in England, the cost of gasoline has fallen by 10.5%, to the level of $ 1.44 / liter. Energy is an important component of inflation and against this background, today rely on strong output data is not necessary. Do not leave without attention and slowing wage growth, that will take into account Brexit, may cause a decrease in consumer activity and force the company to postpone the increase in prices. The consumer confidence index last five months is in the negative area, at a minimum level for the last two and a half years. It should also be noted and the growth of pessimism about the UK assets in the credit markets: the yield on 10-year British government bonds decreased to German and American. 


Pound Dollar advice for investors: Today, the players on the pound against the dollar is to sell the pair GBP / USD Sell the growth of quotations to 1.3360 / 1.3400 and take profit at the level of 1.3280.




Forex rate forecast pair USD JPY USD / JPY today 13/09/2016


Investors caught by surprise a roller coaster in the US stock market. It is difficult to understand that for the upward trend was the day before: it's buying up risky assets after a severe correction or a deep correction and we can expect a new wave of sales of shares worldwide and capital flight to safe assets, which traditionally carry and Japanese yen.In Asian trading session can be expected to yield a negative release the index of business conditions (BSI) for large Japanese companies, which may cause decrease in quotations on the Tokyo Stock Exchange and the strengthening of the yen as a funding currency in carry trade operations. The PMI manufacturing sector last six months is below 50%, indicating a significant decline in this sector of the economy. Corporate profits decline on an annualized basis, primarily due to the decline in the competitiveness of Japanese products in foreign markets due to the strong appreciation of the national currency. The course of the yen against the dollar has appreciated by 15.33% since the beginning of this year, which jeopardizes high rates of GDP growth and inflation. "Appetite for risk" will be determined With the opening of the European trading session, the course of trading: if stocks DAX30 and FTSE100 will show strong growth in the first two hours of the session, the pair will also go up, otherwise it will accelerate the fall of the pair. 


Dollar Yen advice for investors : Players on the dollar in tandem with the Japanese currency today is to sell the pair USD / JPY Sell on the growth of quotations in the area of 102.10 / 102.50 and take profit at the level of 101.50.





Aleksandr Goryachev

Analyst « FreshForex »

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