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Main » 2016 » April » 13 » Forex forecast for today 13/04/2016: Euro / dollar peaked!
Forex forecast for today 13/04/2016: Euro / dollar peaked!

Forex. The forecast of the euro against the dollar (EUR / USD) as of today 13/04/2016

Yesterday's trading session the currency pair EUR / USD has been very dynamic. The sharp rise in early European trade triggered a false breakdown resistance level 1.1450. However, the fixing of a session high of 1.1463 was the trigger for large-scale sales of the single currency. This course has sent more than 100 points down to support level 1.1350.



Thus, in a matter of hours, the quotation went from the top to the bottom of the medium-term horizontal corridor and headed back up.


Formed technical picture, with one hand - a clear indication of the weakness of the fundamental factors that can not give investors enough information to make weighty decisions about the direction of opening long-term positions.

On the other hand - it provides a very convenient way to earn money within the trade corridor.

The euro dollar today in the forecast: For today's European trading a possibility of going beyond the boundaries of the sideways trend we assess as relatively low, which means that traders have a chance to generate income minimal risk. Going beyond the upper or lower limit of the corridor will be possible after the opening of trading on the western Atlantic and the publication of macroeconomic news from the United States and Canada.

Break of 1.1450 resistance level would open the possibility of further growth to the psychologically important 1.1500 mark, while under 1.1350 support to trigger will trigger further selling of the single currency, which could lead to the rate of the value of 1.1150.

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Forex. Forecast exchange rate pound / dollar (GBP / USD) as of today 04/13/2016

GBP / USD, for 1 hour.

During the current trading week rate  of the British pound  against the US dollar corrected confident enough restoring lost as a result of a prolonged downtrend position.

At the start of yesterday's trading session in the Old World, the rate reached its maximum value at the level of 1.4345, from which many investors had decided to take profits from the transactions for the purchase, and then to open short positions. This has had a significant pressure on the pound and the reduced rate under the 1.4200 mark.

Future prospects for the UK currency, at least for the next few months, look relatively transparent. A powerful wave of sales, provoked by the expectation of a referendum on leaving the UK from the United Europe, will resume at the slightest occasion.

Such a trigger can serve the projected growth in retail sales in the United States. Its publication is scheduled for 15:30 Moscow time.


Pound Dollar Forecast for today : In the event that forecasts of most analysts are correct, and statistics show a significant increase in willingness of Americans to spend money, we will see increased demand for the US dollar, which clearly reflected on a pair of the British pound. Pound rush down.

The immediate goal of reducing the level of support will be 1.4140, which will send a sample quotation on down to the local minimum of 1.4040.

The possible continuation of the correction, the low probability of which is, in the first half of today's European session will be restrained by the resistance 1.4320, but in case of overcoming it, will continue up to the mark 1.4400.

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Forex. The forecast rate of gold to date 13/04/2016

XAU / USD, for 4 hours.


Price ounce of gold continues upward trend, gradually losing momentum and, as a consequence, the dynamics of movement.

Twice unsuccessfully tried to gain a foothold above the mark $ 1260 per ounce during yesterday's European trading session, the course turned on and the opening of trading on the American continent recorded a session low at the resistance level of around $ 1250.

After oscillation amplitude of more than 100 points of trading volatility decreased significantly. The opening of today's session was about at the level of yesterday's opening. The current technical picture can with high probability to estimate a trend reversal signal, and if you do not start a new trend, then, at least, a substantial correction.

Thus, the first half of the trading session today, we assume that the price of an ounce will remain within the boundaries of the designated yesterday. Then, after the opening of trading on the American markets and publication of statistics of retail sales in the US, in the case of predicted positive data we will see the first price decline ounce to around $ 1245 dollars, and in case of breakdown to $ 1230.

In that case, if the mood to buy the precious metal resumed. Obstacle to the growth of the price will be $ 1270 resistance level, to overcome which will open up the possibility of further growth to the maximum value of the previous month's $ 1283 per troy ounce.

Forex. Forecast Silver Course today 13/4/2016

XAG / USD, for 4 hours.


Price ounce of silver continues dynamic growth, steadily breaking occurring in the way of resistance levels.

However, traders are working with the asset must take account of a high correlation with the price of silver price of gold.

As noted earlier, in the chart of gold showing signs of an upward trend, and the completion of the correction.

Thus, there is a fairly high probability that reached $ 16.20 mark will point to profit taking on long positions by institutional investors, leading to a reversal and the descent into the area $ 15.80 support level.

This can not be completely discounted, and the likelihood of continuation of growth of the price of the metal, which will meet a barrier of resistance at $ 16.40 an ounce.

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Forex. news

In the center of market attention will be the Bank of Canada decision on the basic interest rate, the accompanying statement to the decision and the report of the Bank for monetary policy. Changes in the rate are not expected, the norm will be kept unchanged at 0.5%. On the same day a press conference of the Bank of Canada.  
Significant attention of the market will cause the publication in China totals balance of foreign trade in March, including exports and imports, as well as US data retail sales and producer price index for March.  
Of no less interest will the publication in the United Kingdom report on the credit and review credit liabilities of banks for the 1st quarter terms.  
Australia is to publish the April index of economic confidence of consumers.  
in the euro zone will be released February data of industrial production.  
France and Spain will present the March consumer price indices.  
and will US statistics published the following data: index of mortgage lending in April; February data volume of stocks in commercial warehouses; Economic Review US Fed regions "Beige Book"; data in gasoline inventories, crude oil and distillate from the US Department of Energy.




Presented forecasts, the result of an analytical assessment of the situation on the currency market. Charts and comments to the forecasts, in any case, are not recommendations to clients to open transactions and are presented only as an analytical and comparative material in the development of its own traders forecasts. The company assumes no liability, in any form, for any loss or damage to other types of clients, whether direct or indirect, that may arise in the case of projections presented on our website. Traders shall bear full responsibility for the results of their work.



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