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Main » 2015 » September » 11 » Forex forecast for today 09/11/2015: The fundamental sentiment is mixed
Forex forecast for today 09/11/2015: The fundamental sentiment is mixed

Forex Forecast September 11, 2015 EUR / USD

On the foreign exchange market trading on Thursday greenback weakened against major currencies - the dollar index USDX closed trading at 95.49. The euro dollar amid falling of quotations on the stock market in Europe added 0.6%. Pound Dollar GBP / USD after rising bond yields State England to American counterparts grew by 0.6%. Dollar Yen USD / JPY spent the day in the range of 119.97 -121.33 side.against the background of the lack of publication of important macroeconomic statistics.



Events forex, which should pay attention today:


02.50 MSK. Japan BSI index of business conditions for large manufacturers for the 3rd quarter (previous value of -6.0 outlook - no data).

15.30 MSK. US producer price index for August (the previous value of 0.2% m / m forecast -0.1% m / m).

17.00 MSK. US consumer sentiment index from the University of Michigan in September (the previous value of 91.9, forecast 91.8).


Forex Forecast EUR USD The EUR / USD today 09/11/2015

In the euro dollar today in trading the forex market, is likely to continue over the side of the trade. On the one hand, demand for Euro-currency will contribute to instability in the world's leading stock exchanges. Leading stock indicators of the planet does not exhibit sustained growth. Yesterday, the European stock indices were down more than 1%, while America showed growth on the contrary, where the leaders were high-tech sector, which traditionally indicates a demand for "risky assets". In the United States during the second half of the session will be released for the release of  PPI  for August. Yesterday came the weak data on the index of import prices, which indicates that today will report on the PPI is negative, which also plays into the hands of buyers euros. On the other hand, today we can expect lower oil prices. On the eve of the US Department of Energy has reported an increase in inventories of crude oil, gasoline and disstilyatov. And the growth of quotations of Brent crude above $ 50 / barrel over the opening there will be a short position on the decline to 48.00. Thus, a lot of uncertainty today. 

Forex. Trading recommendations for the euro dollar traders: Today, the euro dollar will be in a flat within the range of 1.1216 -1.1330. 

Levels euro dollar today: support levels 1.1269 - 1.1216 and resistance levels: 1.1303-1.1373.

Forex. Trading recommendations for the euro dollar traders:


Forex forecast for today rate GBP / USD 11.09.2015

Sterling exchange rate does not react to negative news background for the second day in a row, indicating the presence of strong bulls in the pound dollar pair. In the report released yesterday, the Bank of England noted that some members of the committee talked about the upside risks to inflation. The high rate of sterling relative primarily to the European currency also enhances those risks. Monetary the pair EUR / GBP is now at around 0.9190, while the current market price is 26.6% lower. The weakening of sterling by 25% a positive impact on exports and the economy as a whole. But now there is the growth rate, and the pound was almost played the last half of the downward wave. What does this trend reversal or deep correction? Perhaps we can assume that there is the development of the second option. On the debt market, an increase in UK government bond yields relative to their counterparts from the US and Germany, which facilitates the flow of capital into the UK assets.Thus, we can still see the growth of quotations pair GBP / USD. The most effective analysis tool offsets - this Fibo levels. Area Correction 50% -61.8% is in the range 1.5489 -1.5566. It is in this area, in my opinion, and will take a turn. 

Forex. Trading recommendations for the pound dollar pair: Today at the auctions of the forex market for the pound dollar pair, traders should wait in flat trading within the range of 1.5390 -1.5520.

The levels for the pair GBP / USD: Support levels: 1.5427 - 1.5351 and resistance levels: 1.5466 - 1.5497.

Forex. Trading recommendations for the pound dollar pair


Forex forecast of the dollar, the yen USD / JPY today 09/11/2015

As the dollar yen pair, traders today probably is expected to reduce. As already noted, the world's leading stock markets do not generate strong signals buying and selling. Against this background, now it becomes clear - whether investors to increase operations carry trade, or close them. Under the first scenario, we obtain the growth of quotations, in the second embodiment, decrease in pair dollar / yen. On the one hand, today we can expect the release of negative data on producer price index in the United States, that put pressure on the US currency. On the other hand, the differential in yields of government bonds in Japan and the United States expanded to the US dollar. 

Forex. Trading recommendations for the dollar yen pair: Today during trading in the dollar yen pair is worth waiting for trade sideways channel 120.05 -121.15. 

Support and resistance levels Dollar Yen: support levels: 120.36 - 120.09 and resistance levels: 120.73 - 121.37.

Forex. Trading recommendations for the dollar yen pair


Alexander Goryachev

Analyst «FreshForex»


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