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Main » 2019 » March » 28 » Forex forecast and recommendations today 28.03.2019: EUR / USD - the flat, GBP / USD - May ready to leave, USD / JPY - good and bad news
10:03
Forex forecast and recommendations today 28.03.2019: EUR / USD - the flat, GBP / USD - May ready to leave, USD / JPY - good and bad news

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Events today:

15:30 MSK. USA: Change in GDP for the 4th quarter

 

The euro dollar forex trading forecast for EURUSD today 03/28/2019
 

This week markets reeling. Observed that capital inflows into risky assets and dollar sales, the outflow of capital from risky assets and buying the dollar. With what it can be connected and what we continue to expect the trend? Try to understand this difficult matter. Financial media asserting that investors are afraid of the future recession in the world economy and sell risky assets (equities, industrial metals, oil). If so, then why investors at the beginning of the week to buy these assets? They were afraid that the recession in just a day or two? Talking about the recession are the last two years and always end with the horror growth markets. Probably, the reason lies in another. Now the end of the first quarter, during which greatly increased equity markets and oil - investors are taking profits on positions. In Japan, the fiscal year ends, and investment funds are also busy rebalancing position. About recession in the world economy today can not speak. All recessions have been caused by the growth of the world's largest Central Bank interest rates over the past forty years. In the past three years, only the Fed to raise rates, as the ECB and the Bank of Japan to keep rates at zero and negative levels, respectively. Now FOMC takes a pause and has no plans to raise rates. What we have in the dry residue? Today and tomorrow the market participants waiting for a sideways trend (funds closed the quarter), and then the next week you can expect an increase in euro prices. In the past three years, only the Fed to raise rates, as the ECB and the Bank of Japan to keep rates at zero and negative levels, respectively. Now FOMC takes a pause and has no plans to raise rates. What we have in the dry residue? Today and tomorrow the market participants waiting for a sideways trend (funds closed the quarter), and then the next week you can expect an increase in euro prices. In the past three years, only the Fed to raise rates, as the ECB and the Bank of Japan to keep rates at zero and negative levels, respectively. Now FOMC takes a pause and has no plans to raise rates. What we have in the dry residue? Today and tomorrow the market participants waiting for a sideways trend (funds closed the quarter), and then the next week you can expect an increase in euro prices.


EURUSD recommendation: flat 1.1220 -1.1290

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pound Dollar GBPUSD forex forecast for today 28/03/2019
 

Pound continues to consolidate at 1.3200. Yesterday's debate in the British Parliament on Brexit project lasted until late at night and were not successful. However, there is one interesting point: T. Mae declared its readiness to resign, if the speakers vote for "a variant" Brexit transaction. The chances of such an outcome is now high, because the opposition is not the first month of May calls to resign and now the process can be started. On the debt market investors are also positive about the prospects of British assets: the yield on 10-year UK government bonds is increasing in relation to their counterparts in the US and Germany.


GBPUSD recommendation: Buy 1.3175 / 1.3150, and take profit 1.3230

 

 

 

The dollar yen pair USDJPY Forex forecast for today 28/03/2019
 

yen dollar today market participants in the USDJPY pair is waiting for a mixed background. On the one hand, the possible reduction of quotations on the background of the negative dynamics of the credit markets, where the yield spread on 10-year US and Japanese government bonds shows a decline that can support sellers. On the other hand, investors can start to build up the "Long" in the US stock market, which can deploy a couple up as USDJPY has a direct correlation with the S & P500 index. Wednesday were former and current US Federal Reserve officials, who expressed the need to reduce interest rates in the future. For the stock market is a positive signal. Tomorrow in Beijing will start trade negotiations of the US Treasury and China, which can also reassure investors on the opening of the "Long" on the shares.


USDJPY recommendation: flat 110.10-110.90

 

 

 

FreshForex analyst

 

 

 

 

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