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Main » 2019 » June » 26 » Forex forecast and recommendations today 26.06.2019: EUR / USD - Fed concerned about low inflation, GBP / USD
Forex forecast and recommendations today 26.06.2019: EUR / USD - Fed concerned about low inflation, GBP / USD


Events today:

12.15 MSK. UK: The head of the Bank of England Governor Mark Carney will deliver a speech.

15:30 MSK. USA: Change in orders for durable goods in May.

17:30 MSK. US data on stocks of crude oil from the Department of Energy in June.

The euro dollar forex trading forecast for EURUSD today 06/26/2019

The night before, the head of the US Federal Reserve acted D. Powell. Since since the last Fed meeting took place less than a week, I do not expect any important statements from the head of the FOMC. In fact it was said to them at a press conference on June 19, but I was wrong. D. Powell said that the current low inflation is a powerful argument for lower rates. Powell had previously been more reserved in relation to landmarks on interest rates. whether the pressure affects J. Trump, who has repeatedly stated about the possibility of changing the head of the Federal Reserve? Quite possibly. D. Powell, now there is a powerful information attack and appears to him, we have a very hard time at the new location. Policy always affects the economy, but now this influence has never been greater. Investors immediately reacted to this statement, the US bond yields went down, and futures on a bet the Fed implies a threefold reduction in the rate until the end of the year. Dollar is a negative signal!

EUR / USD recommendation: Buy 1.1345 / 1.1325, and take profit 1.1403







Pound dollar forex forecast GBPUSD today 06/26/2019

In the midst of the European trading session will be held on the speech of the Bank of England Governor Mark Carney. Investors are now focused on internal party elections to the Conservative party - choose the future prime minister. For the current day high chance of success is Boris Johnson, who is a staunch opponent of ES Against this background, the Bank of England executive can declare, if necessary, control of readiness to cut interest rates at the end of the year, in order to neutralize the negative effect on the economy after a "hard" BREXIT. On the one hand, yet it is just empty words. On the other hand, the market is living rumors and expectations, and the Bank of England may form negative expectations of the market. Whether to sell now, the pound? In my opinion, no, because the United States has been disappointing investors negative macroeconomic statistics.

GBP / USD recommendation: flat 1.2630 -1.2720




Dollar yen forex forecast USDJPY today 26/06/2019

The yield spread on 10-year US / Japan government bonds renewed three-month low, indicating a decrease in quotations of the currency pair. The negative macroeconomic statistics from the United States Sales of new buildings and the index of consumer confidence from the Conference Board, in conjunction with the statements of the head of the US Federal Reserve about the possibility of lower interest rates contribute to a drop in yield of US bonds. Dollar is a negative signal, since there is a strong correlation between the market value of the US currency and the yield of the US Treasury bonds.

USD / JPY recommendation: Sell 107.56 / 107.73 and take profit 107.21








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