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Main » 2018 » November » 21 » Forex forecast and recommendations today 21.11.2018: EUR / USD - buy, GBP / USD - growth, USD / JPY - Flete
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Forex forecast and recommendations today 21.11.2018: EUR / USD - buy, GBP / USD - growth, USD / JPY - Flete

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Events today:

16:30 MSK. USA: Change in orders for durable goods in October (the previous value of 0.8% m / m; the forecast -2.2% m / m).

18:00 MSK. USA: Sales of housing in the secondary market in October (the previous value of -3.4%, forecast 1.0%).

18.30 MSK. US data on crude oil inventories from the Department of Energy in November (previous value 10,270M; 2,099M forecast).

 

The euro dollar technical EURUSD forecast for today 21/11/2018
 

The head of the Eurogroup, Mario Centeno on Tuesday again criticized the draft budget of Italy - not like Mr. Mario pressure of the Italians who did not want to make concessions and reduce their costs. Rome wants to increase spending to stimulate economic growth. Brussels warns that such an approach will bring the positive in the short term and the problems in the long run. Not to say that the Italians are living "one day", but the policies are often guided by the horizon of 10-12 months. Get the same US President J. Trump, who in January of this year launched a tax reform that led to the growth of GDP. Short term this is a positive factor, in two or three years, States face a high budget deficit and it regards to significant problems in the economy.


Euro aid can reach the oil, which can demonstrate a significant growth of quotations. The whole question is - when will the market turn? Today or Friday? Tomorrow in the US Thanksgiving and the oil market will be sluggish. Why oil is expected to grow? First, Canada has begun to cut production since grade Western Canadian Select Canadian oil dropped below $ 20, which leads to losses for the companies. Secondly, on Tuesday performed the Minister of Energy of Saudi Arabia Khalid al-Falih, who said about the need to cut production by 1 million barrels per day from the level in October 2018. Third, India increases oil imports. In October the figure rose to 0.5 million barrels per day. Oh, and for dessert left a statement of US State Secretary M. Pompeo, who expects tightening sanctions on Venezuela, or more precisely,

 

EURUSD recommendation: Buy 1,1370 / 1,1350 and take profit 1,1440.

 

 

 

 

 

Pound dollar forex forecast pair GBPUSD today 21/11/2018
 

Rumors T. May not confirmed the resignation topic - one vote was not on Tuesday. Today, the Prime Minister will meet with European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker in Brussels where they will discuss Brexit project. Debt market reacted positively to this novost- the yield on 10-year UK government bonds is increasing in relation to their counterparts in the US and Germany - for the pound is a positive signal! However, there are risks to the T. Mae - Spain will vote against the release of the UK from the EU agreement, if it is not recorded that Spain and the UK will directly negotiate over Gibraltar, the country's prime minister said Pedro Sanchez. But it will not happen today, but today the market is set to a positive outcome of the negotiations and Mae Juncker.

 

GBPUSD recommendation: Buy 1,2780 / 1,2760 and take profit 1,2848.

 

 

 

Dollar Yen forex forecast USDJPY pair on the Tonight 21/11/2018
 

Futures on the US and Asian stock indexes are now showing kopirovok growth that promotes the growth of the pair USDJPY. Since it is the dynamics of the stock markets has a very strong influence on the course of trading in this pair, then try to understand that we can be in the stock markets. Many stocks this week fell heavily, and was accompanied by a drop falling yields on 10-year US government bonds. Usually it happens that bond yields falling, and share price increases. Why is this not happening now? Apparently, many investors are reluctant to buy, and waiting for lower quotes, waiting for more attractive levels. Tomorrow in the US output, and then will be "Black Friday." On this day in large discount stores, and on the stock markets quotations growth. Probably, Today and tomorrow, the players waiting for a sideways trend in the equity markets and in the pair USDJPY, as investors may opt out of active trading before the weekend. On Friday and Monday traders should wait for the growth of quotations both S & P500, and on USDJPY.


USDJPY recommendation: flat 112,50-113,40.

 

 

 

 

FreshForex analyst

 

 

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