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Main » 2018 » November » 20 » Forex forecast and recommendations today 20.11.2018: EUR / USD - a split in the Fed, GBP / USD - the flat, USD / JPY - trade in the range
Forex forecast and recommendations today 20.11.2018: EUR / USD - a split in the Fed, GBP / USD - the flat, USD / JPY - trade in the range


The euro \ usd forex forecast for EURUSD pair today 11/20/2018

Before the next meeting of the US Federal Reserve is less than a month, while the probability of a rate hike was reduced from 75% to 66%. The US central bank is maturing a split - not all members of the FOMC committee would support a rate hike at the meeting in December 2018 and March 2019. Perhaps this is due to fears of a crisis in the economy, which is expected to last three years and which is still to come. Perhaps the committee members listened to the calls of D. Trump, who has repeatedly stated that the FOMC should stop raising rates, as in Europe and Japan rates near zero to stimulate the economy, in contrast to the US. Yield spread of 10-year government bonds of Germany and the United States rose to the highest since October 16, which confirms the strong upward trend in the pair! In the second half of the day will be published Ralegh from the US in the number of new foundations, which, in my opinion, it can get worse than median forecasts, against a background of increased cost of construction materials and interest rates. On the dollar is also put additional pressure.

EURUSD recommendation: Buy 1,1440 / 1,1420 and take profit 1,1500.






Pound \ usd forex forecast pair GBPUSD today 20/11/2018

At present, formed a mixed background. On the one hand, you can expect a decrease in quotations of the pound because of the negative dynamics of the credit markets, where yields on 10-year UK government bonds is reduced in relation to their counterparts in the US and Germany. T. Mae can dismiss from his post as prime minister - a political crisis in the United Kingdom contributes to the growth of pessimism in the ranks of investors. On the other hand, on Monday all the countries of the European Union supported the draft agreement with the United Kingdom on its exit from the ES, declared Michel Barnier. If there will be peace and harmony, the pound may get strong support in the British Parliament. Another positive factor for the pound - is the future growth of oil prices, due to the direct correlation GBPUSD and #BRENT. "The most favorable price of oil for the kingdom - $ 80 per barrel" - he said on Monday Adviser to the Ministry of Oil of Saudi Arabia. Saudi Arabia is fighting a war in Yemen, which is costly. In addition, Crown Prince Salman plans to seriously diversify the economy in the next ten years, which would also require stable oil prices. When the Saudis that it is necessary - they receive. That is the way the oil market.

GBPUSD recommendation: flat 1,2810-1,2890.




Dollar ruble exchange rate forecast for USDJPY pair today 11/20/2018

At present a contradictory picture - we can see the growth of quotations and fall. In the last three trading days of high demand is gold that has been supporting "bears", as the precious metal and the Japanese currency have a very strong correlation. Both tools are among the "safest assets". On the other hand, today investors can start buying shares on the NYSE stock exchange, which will cause the growth of US stock indices. The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds is reduced, which increases the attractiveness of investing in stocks.


USDJPY recommendation: flat 112,37-112,99.




Analyst FreshForex



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