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Main » 2018 » December » 19 » Forex forecast and recommendations today 19.12.2018: EUR / USD - the weak dollar, GBP / USD - short-term growth, USD / JPY - Good and bad ne
Forex forecast and recommendations today 19.12.2018: EUR / USD - the weak dollar, GBP / USD - short-term growth, USD / JPY - Good and bad ne


Events today:

16:30 MSK. USA: current account balance for Q3 (the previous value -101.5B; -125.0B forecast) BOP.

22.00 MSK. US: FOMC decision on the basic interest rate (the previous value of <2.25%; forecast <2.50%).

The euro dollar forex EURUSD forecast for today 19/12/2018




Today, the main event is waiting for investors, the announcement of a total of US Federal Reserve meeting. market participants are interested in two questions. The first - whether the central bank to raise rates today? The second - how many times the rate will be increased in 2019? On the eve of their opinions on the subject expressed J. Trump, who calls the Fed no longer raise interest rates, both today and in 2019. American President wants to accelerate economic growth in the United States, and for that he needs lower rates on loans. Futures on a bet the Fed, which is traded on the CME in Chicago and shows market expectations, tells us that the rate can now be enhanced with a probability of 75% - the lowest level in two years. As for 2019, the futures points to one rate hike in September. Dollar is a bad signal because the market in November, when the last Fed meeting, counted on three rate hikes in 2019. If today's rate will not be raised, then we will have a strong upward trend for the single European currency.



EURUSD recommendation: Buy 1.1370 / 1.1350, and take profit 1.1425.





Pound dollar forex forecast pair GBPUSD today 12/19/2018

Игрокам форекс по GBPUSD сегодня стоит покупать валюту Британии на фоне позитивна долгового рынка рынка, где два последних дня доходность 10-летних государственных облигаций Великобритании растет по отношению к своим аналогам из США и Германии. Фунт сегодня может вновь протестировать уровень 1.2700 – на большее сил пока не хватит, поскольку сохраняется неопределенность относительно проекта Brexit. Торговая палата Соединенного Королевства накануне отрапортовала о сокращении инвестиций со стороны малого и среднего бизнеса, поскольку предприниматели боятся рисков связанных с Brexit. Данные по инфляции в Великобритании за ноябрь, на мой взгляд, выйдут на уровне медианы прогнозов, поскольку из-за “черной пятницы” и низких цен на бензин, инфляция не смогла продемонстрировать рост. Для фунта это нейтральный фактор, поскольку рынок заранее учитывает такой исход.

GBPUSD recommendation: Buy 1.2640 / 1.2620, and take profit 1.2700.




Dollar yen forex forecast pair USDJPY 19.12.2018

Today, there are good and bad news for the pair USD / JPY. Let's start with the good. Asian stock markets are now showing an upward trend, which could have a pair of support because it is correlated with the equity markets. Many markets are now trading at multi-month lows and as Washington and Beijing want to reach a compromise in trade disputes, the current levels are attractive for the opening of the "Long". In addition, the Fed is not ready to quickly raise interest rates in 2019 and this is also a positive signal for the stock market. The bad news is now one - a sharp drop in yield spread on 10-year US and Japanese government bonds. Since the beginning of the week the figure has fallen dramatically, and the couple fell behind him. Because the market there is uncertainty regarding the FOMC policy, now can see no reason,


USDJPY recommendation: flat 112.00-112.90.



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