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Main » 2019 » July » 18 » Forex forecast and recommendations today 18.07.2019: EUR / USD - long positions, GBP / USD - Retail Sales report, USD / JPY
Forex forecast and recommendations today 18.07.2019: EUR / USD - long positions, GBP / USD - Retail Sales report, USD / JPY


Events today:

11:30 MSK. United Kingdom: The retail volume, taking into account fuel costs in June.

The euro dollar forex trading forecast for EURUSD today 07/18/2019

For the euro, formed a moderately positive background. On the one hand, it can be expected to strengthen the single European currency against the background of growth yield of German government bonds relative to their counterparts in the US and UK. Additional support for the euro will have a positive trend in the oil market. Investors are increasing their "Long" on the black gold by a decline in volume of production in the OPEC countries. + This organization is now exceeded its plan to reduce oil production by 122%. On the other hand, a board member of the European Central Bank Benoit Kore said Wednesday that the Governing Council of the ECB is ready to act if necessary, to help the inflation rate in the euro zone closer to the target of near 2%. This is a negative signal for the euro.

EUR / USD recommendation: Buy 1.1229 / 1.1210, and take profit 1.1264





Pound Dollar GBPUSD forex forecast for today 18/07/2019

We try to weigh the "pros" and "cons" to understand the possible trend. Today will be published a report on retail sales in the UK in June, which may please investors positive data as the average wage growth rate is at a 11 year high. The strong labor market has traditionally has a positive effect on retail sales. The positive trend in the commodity market may also provide support to the pound - we see the purchase of silver, palladium, nickel and oil. However, political risks will not allow the pound is now to demonstrate strong growth - investors are afraid to buy the pound against the background of the British politicians BREXIT necessary without an agreement with the ES What we have in the dry residue? With a small margin turns out that you can buy a pound of care.

GBP / USD recommendation: Buy 1.2426 / 1.2404, and take profit 1.2477




Dollar against the yen USDJPY Forex forecast for today 18/07/2019

Demand for risky assets have a positive impact on the cost of a pair of USDJPY, as the pair is strongly correlated with stock indices and commodities. According to the futures market in Chicago - the likelihood of double reduction of the Fed interest rate is 70%. The yield on two-year US Treasury bond is now 0.56% below the FOMC rate - investors have already committed transactions in the market at reduced rates bonds. Thus, the Fed's July 31 has no choice but to go to the easing of monetary policy. This factor has a positive impact on the cost of the stock indices.

USD / JPY recommendation: Buy 107.50 / 107.30 and take profit 107.90



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