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Main » 2019 » April » 5 » Forex forecast and recommendations today 05.04.2019: EUR / USD - Euro growth against the ECB, GBP / USD - Policy rule of the market, USD / J
Forex forecast and recommendations today 05.04.2019: EUR / USD - Euro growth against the ECB, GBP / USD - Policy rule of the market, USD / J


Events today:

15:30 MSK. USA: Change in the number of people employed in non-farm payrolls for March.

15:30 MSK. US: Changes in average hourly wages for March.

The euro \ usd forex forecast for EURUSD today 04/05/2019

The main event of the day will be the publication of data on the labor market. Leading indicators APD ISM and employment point to output a bit worse than expected median. An increasingly important role in this report will play a less Non-Farm figure, as indicator of average earnings. Now this indicator is the annual maximum and research institutes in the United States point to a gradual decline in the rate of revenue growth. For the US dollar is a negative factor, but the euro will not be able to show strong growth. An uptrend will be limited by 1.1260 area. Why? It's all about the ECB. The central bank of the Eurozone is discussing options for a more aggressive stimulus. This can be a reduction in rates and increase QE program (purchase of bonds in the market). On this news, investors are always reluctant to buy the euro, with the good momentum will demonstrate the European equity markets. Stimulate the economy always positively perceived by investors on aktsiy- market today can expect a continuation of the upward trend on the index # DAX30, which can test the mark of 12,100.

EURUSD recommendation: Buy 1.1210 / 1.1190, and take profit 1.1260







Pound Dollar GBPUSD forex forecast for today 04/05/2019

Pound still has a strong influence situation BREXIT. In the first half of the week T. Mae promised to conduct successful negotiations with opposition leaders. Investors Against this background, actively buying the pound. On Thursday it became clear that the first round of talks ended without results - in the end position on the British currency funds were liquidated, and forex traders saw a return to the psychological level of 1.30. Adds "fuel to the fire" Brussels, who does not want to delay in BREXIT, of which more than once asked the British prime minister. The trend in the GBP / USD pair is changed every two days, and the trend is determined by the policy. It will not be surprising if the politicians will say today that we are ready to sign an agreement on BREXIT pound and unfold upwards. Maybe it will happen next week. Now a pound of much uncertainty and it is advisable to monitor developments and miss the trade. Alternatively, you can choose oil BRENT, of which there is continuing strong uptrend and we can expect growth of quotations in the area of ​​70.15.

GBPUSD recommendation: flat 1.3040 -1.3140




Dollar yen forex proonoz USDJPY today 04/05/2019

Today forex players in the USD / JPY pair waiting for the "roller coaster". Initially, you can expect a decrease in the pair after the release of employment data in the US for March, where investors may start selling the dollar against a background of decline in average earnings. Then necessary to wait for a reversal trend upwards, as USD / JPY pair will be correlated with the dynamics of the US stock market, where the index # SP500 approaching psychological level of 2900 n. Investors are actively buying stocks, as expected positive outcome of trade negotiations, the US and China, which in this week held in Washington. D. Trump said yesterday that negotiations are going very well.

USD / JPY recommendation: Buy 111.50 / 111.30 and take profit 112.00



FreshForex analyst


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