Events that should pay attention today:
15.00 MSK. Germany: Harmonized index of consumer prices in September (the previous value of 1.9% y / y, forecast 2.0% y / y).
15:30 MSK. USA: Change in orders for durable goods in August (the previous value of -1.7% m / m forecast 1.9% m / m).
The euro dollar forek forecast EUR / USD pair today 27/09/2018
At present, formed a mixed background. On the one hand, it is possible to expect reduction of quotations on the background of positive comments from Bernanke. On Wednesday evening, D. Powell said about the growth of the US economy, which will allow the central bank to raise rates again this year and do it three times in 2019. On the other hand, support for the euro may have news from China and Turkey. Profits of China's state enterprises in January-August increased by 20.7% compared to the same period last year and amounted to 2.3 trillion yuan ($ 335 billion), said the country's Finance Ministry. The most significant rise in profit this year was marked in the steel, petroleum and petrochemical industries. Thus, the collapse of, or a strong slowdown in China's economy is clearly exaggerated reporters. President Tayyip Erdogan said on Wednesday, that the increase in the country's central bank interest rate - this is a clear sign of the independence of regulator's decisions, thus somewhat softened the excitement of investors on the monetary policy of the country. For investors, this is also a positive signal, since many of them were really worried about the situation in Ankara.
EURUSD recommendation: flat 1,1700-1,1790.
Pound dollar forex forecast pair GBP / USD today 27/09/2018
There are good and bad news for the pound. The bad news - it talks about the fact that ES It will not provide the benefits of the British on the occasion Brexit. For speculators is a great excuse to "play for a fall." Good news - a continuation of the upward trend in the oil market, which is positive for the pound due to Brent and GBP / USD direct correlation. Black Gold found solid support in the area of 80.45. Even yesterday's release of negative US stocks and oil could not spoil the mood of investors - stocks in storage, as well as the extraction of raw materials, increased, which is a bearish signal for the market. However, in fact, we saw a very modest price decline. US embargo on oil supplies from Iran becomes effective November 4, raising concerns about supply in the world market. Well-known oil trader Trafigura Group is waiting for the growth of quotations in the region of $ 100 / barrel in December. This company is actively trading in the physical market, and its previous forecasts come true with a probability of 90%! Against this background, it is possible to buy Brent for purpose of 82.00.
GBPUSD recommendation: flat 1,3130-1,3210.
Dollar yen forecast pair USD / JPY today 09/27/2018
On the eve of the pair almost the most updated this year, before reaching the prickly level only 4 p. In my view, the upward trend is still strong, and after the correction should be open long positions. The main growth driver is old - it was volatile monetary policy the Fed and the Bank of Japan. First the central bank continues to raise interest rates, the second said that the rate of this week will be negative for at least a year. Against this backdrop, the yield spread of 10-year US and Japanese bonds expanded, which will contribute to the continuation of the upward trend in the pair.
USDJPY recommendation: Buy 112,50 / 112,30 and take profit 113,00.