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Main » 2018 » June » 19 » Forex forecast and advices for today 19.06.2018: EUR / USD - reasons to buy, GBP / USD - growth
Forex forecast and advices for today 19.06.2018: EUR / USD - reasons to buy, GBP / USD - growth


The main event today:

15:30 MSK. USA: The volume of building permits issued in May (the previous value of -1.8% m / m; the forecast -1.4% m / m).

The euro dollar forex forecast pair EUR / USD today 06/19/2018

Currency pair EUR / USD has stabilized near the mark of 1.16, after a sharp decline at the meeting of the ECB, and the players today, there are two reasons to buy the euro.

First, the differential yields of German and US 10-year bonds in the credit market is growing, it will support the currency of the Old World. 

Second, US data on the volume of building permits issued is unlikely to please investors as positive, the construction sector is highly dependent on the mortgage market, where there is growth rates. If you stood at 4.71% in April rates on 30-year mortgage, this level has reached 4.81% in May. A year ago, the rate was 4.23%. The news dollar may diminish within one to two hours.

EUR / USD recommendation: Buy 1,1620 / 1,1595 and take profit 1.1680.





Pound Dollar forecast GBP / USD pair today 06/19/2018

Today the pair GBP / USD currency speculators are interested in shopping in a minimum of May (1.3203).

One of the reasons the British growth - positive bond market, the yield on British 10-year bonds rising to the German and American. 

Another reason for the growth of the sterling - for oil demand, the GBP / USD pair is correlated with Brent oil. Oil going up after comments by OPEC that oppose the Russian initiative and Saudi Arabia to increase oil production in the second half of the year by 1.5 million barrels per day. Most OPEC members favor an increase in production quotas at a rate of 0.6 million barrels per day. On Friday, investors were disappointed and sold oil, and now the market has returned optimism and we see strong demand and growth of quotations. As they say, "from love to hate one step."

GBP / USD recommendation: Buy 1,3250 / 1,3225 and take profit 1.3297.




Aleksandr Goryachev

Company analyst FreshForex



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