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Main » 2019 » June » 14 » Forex analytics and forecast for today 14.06.2019: EURUSD - the bad news from the United States, GBPUSD - BREXIT against the pound, USDJPY
Forex analytics and forecast for today 14.06.2019: EURUSD - the bad news from the United States, GBPUSD - BREXIT against the pound, USDJPY


Events today:

15:30 MSK. US: Retail Sales for May.

16.15 MSK. US: Industrial Production for May.

The euro dollar forex trading forecast for EURUSD today 06/14/2019

The main event of the day will be the publication of statistics from the United States, retail sales and industrial production for May. Traders should wait for both indicators worse than the median forecast, allowing EUR / USD show a good growth of quotations. Firstly, on retail sales is heavily influenced by household income, which in the United States begins to show a slowdown in growth. Secondly, ISM manufacturing index for the end of May fell to a minimum of the last two years, indicating that the decline in business activity in the industrial production. Additional support for the euro will have a bullish rally in the oil market, as between the EURUSD and BRENT observed a direct correlation.

EUR / USD recommendation: Buy 1.1269 / 1.1255, and take profit 1.1328







Pound Dollar GBPUSD forex forecast for today 14/06/2019

The main candidate for the post of Prime Minister of Great Britain, Boris Johnson, said the need to review the deal, which was previously agreed T. May with the European Union. Now Johnson is leading the race by a wide margin, having the support of 79 legislators. In second place is the Foreign Minister Jeremy Hunt, positioning itself as a moderate politician, supported by 34 lawmakers. To pound is a negative signal, as political risks increase again, and investors will leave the UK assets. Strong sales of the British currency is not worth to expect, as the upward trend in the oil market will support the pound, because of the direct correlation GBPUSD and BRENT.

GBP / USD recommendation: flat 1.2635-1.2730



Dollar yen USDJPY Forex forecast for today 14/06/2109

The course of trade a strong impact of the two factors. First, the macroeconomic data from the United States, which, in my view, disappointing investors weak data on the background of the decline in business activity in the industry and reduce the level of income. This factor can cause USDJPY sell-off to the level of 108.00. Second, the decline in the index of "fear" the VIX signals a continuation of the upward trend in the US stock market, which could support the pair USDJPY, which has a strong correlation with the index # SP500. Now it is difficult to understand which of the two factors will have a greater impact on the course of trading.


USD / JPY recommendation: flat 108.00 -108.70



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