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Main » 2015 » December » 14 » Forecasts for the Fed's key rate over the next two years
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Forecasts for the Fed's key rate over the next two years
 
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On Wednesday, December 16 will be known to the Fed's decision to raise the key interest rate as expected by most market participants, it will be increased by 25 basis points, the first time in quite a long period.

 

 

Now, however, the emphasis has shifted a bit, most investors are interested in the question of a further increase in interest rates.

Leading analysts disagreed, their average forecast that in 2016 the rate will be increased from two to four times.

If we analyze the Fed's previous forecasts in September, you can expect a cumulative hike of 100 basis points next year.

According to the survey, 24% of respondents say increase by 25 basis points twice in a year, 39% expect to increase three steps, and another 30% do not rule out that the rate will be increased to four times a year.

Thus, the average forecast rate increase of 75 basis points in 2016, and in 2017 - another 100.

It should be noted that it is believed that two year rates rose immediately by 300 basis points. Other experts believe that, on the contrary, after the December meeting of the Fed rate will not be increased in 2016-2017.Yet some say the Fed will have to increase rates after 2015, to reduce it in 2016.

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