The popular on Wall Street financial forecaster shares his vision - what to prepare financial players in 2016 and 2017. How to make money and not lose their money - on AMarkets materials.
Mark Zandi believes that the US Federal Reserve did not dare to raise in 2016 in June. But in July - easily. And if not will be decided in July - then just do it in September. Zandi suggests several possible episodes of increase of the rate in 2017-2018 gg. The main supporting factors - unemployment, which reduced a steady pace. Seasonal or occasional failures do not count. The Fed will soon come to a conclusion about the urgent need to normalize the economic model in order to avoid the risk of overheating of the economy.
What are the recommendations for the investor in this situation? A year ago, the market has been a quite decent rally. Despite the fact that rates were low. It was a period of high returns - investors could make good money. On these sweet times should forget - says Zandi. And the situation is unlikely to improve until the end of this decade, until the economy not accept the "new normal."
In the 2018-2020 year may happen the next powerful recession. At the same time if there is a recession, the Fed is likely to launch another round of monetary easing. New QE will certainly create new opportunities for investors, the market will return bull trends and good liquidity. While the priority remains the preservation of capital, rather than multiplication.