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Main » 2018 » April » 12 » Forecast on Forex today 12.04.2018: EUR / USD - two reasons to open long positions
Forecast on Forex today 12.04.2018: EUR / USD - two reasons to open long positions


Forex Events today:

15:30 MSK. US: The number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in April (previous value of 242K; the forecast 231K).

The euro dollar forex forecast EUR / USD today 12/04/2018

EUR / USD today - traders are two reasons to buy:



First, the yield on German 10-year bonds on the bond market shows growth to the American and British bonds, it will support the currency of the Old World. Inflation data in the United States in March could not change the alignment of forces in the bond market. Investors are likely to pay attention to the very weak data on the US government budget and the ECB's statements about the QE program completion at the end of this year.

Second, the commodity market has seen rising oil prices and gold, this has a negative effect on the course of greenbacks as raw materials quoted in US currency. Particularly impressive is the growth of oil prices, which reached the highest since December 2014.

EUR / USD recommendation: Buy 1,2358 / 1,2330 and take profit 1,2410.







Pound dollar forex forecast pair GBP / USD today 12/04/2018

Players pair Briton dolllar now expects an ambiguous situation. There are reasons for growth and decline in prices. It will start with the positive factors. Instability in the Middle East pushes up oil quotes. Over the past three trading days of black gold increased by 7% and set a fresh three-year high. Defense forces of Saudi Arabia intercepted over Riyadh ballistic missile, released by Yemeni rebels. Saudis suspect that behind this thing is to Iran. If it happens the war between Iran and Saudi Arabia, the quotes quickly cross the level of 80 $ / barrel for Brent grade. The situation is heating up, and due to the tension between the US and Russia on the Syrian issue. In general, nothing new is happening in the world - the struggle for oil is observed the last seventy years. Negative factors include the dynamics of the debt market, where the yield of British 10-year bonds fall to German and American securities, which will put pressure on the sterling. It is worth noting the differences in the United Kingdom's political circles. On Wednesday, the leader of the British opposition Labor Party Jeremy Corbyn called for a vote in the Parliament of Great Britain to determine further action in London against Syria, but T. Mae opposed.

GBP / USD recommendation: flat 1,4135-1,4225.




Dollar yen forex forecast USD / JPY today 12/04/2018

The pair is in a geopolitical power. On the agenda of the situation in Syria. On the eve of US President J. Trump shocked many investors to their Twitter-diplomacy, when called on Russia, is preparing for a "smart" US missiles. Then Donald himself and wrote a new post, where he proposed to stop the arms race and instead to collaborate. These two posts on Twitter appeared with a difference of one hour and many investors began to doubt the adequacy of the American leader. Next he spoke, US Defense Secretary James Mattis, who said that the decision on Syria is still pending and the data received from the intelligence you need to learn. I'm not a military expert, and it is difficult to draw conclusions about whether there will be a military confrontation between the US and Russia, but apparently, the Americans do not want war and are ready to negotiate.

USD / JPY recommendation: Buy 106,85 / 106,60 and take profit 107,64.





Aleksandr Goryachev

Company analyst FreshForex


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