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Main » 2016 » January » 20 » "Currency war" - the nearest outlook
"Currency war" - the nearest outlook

GBP / USD - Yesterday Mark Carney explained the position of the Bank of England about the rate hike expectations (in the near future for such an increase can not be expected). In fact, it became clear why the pound fell recently. We can say that the Bank of England held a limited devaluation of the pound, and the latter will now have to develop a new corridor 1.3800 - 1.4300.



 USD / CAD - against the backdrop of falling oil Canadian dollar falls almost to the middle of October 2015.Today, 20.01.2016g., Everyone is waiting for the Bank of Canada at its meeting to cut rates and the Canadian dollar will open the way to the level of 1.5000. Anything can happen. But I do not think that the rate will be lowered (the reasons for this are many), and in this case it is possible to expect strengthening of the Canadian dollar to the level of 1.4300.

EUR / USD - tomorrow 21.01.2016g., Will be announced the next rate decision of the ECB, and Mario Draghi will hold a press conference. After a rate cut in December last year, everyone is waiting for further decline. Most likely the ECB will not cut rates. In his address, Mario Draghi (as a master of verbal intervention) hint at regular conditions for further easing by the ECB. But the market is likely to be disappointed again, as it was in December, and the euro will have on the road to the top levels of 1.1200 - 1.1300.

After the US Federal Reserve rate hike at its meeting in December 2015., At its meeting next week, the Fed likely will do nothing. We must wait, as the latest decision will affect the US economy. Therefore, most likely, a pause in the growth of the dollar will continue.

USD / JPY - against the background of the devaluation of the Chinese yuan, the problems with the Chinese economy, rising geopolitical tensions and falling oil Japanese Yen is likely to continue to strengthen to levels of 115.00 - 114.00.

Soon everything will be clear!

A source

Analysis Alpari
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