The referendum ended in favor of the British exit from the EU. What are the forecasts given by experts on the key exchange assets? - At AMarkets materials.
Experts Credit Suisse Group AG, believe that the stock will fall in the short term in a global perspective. The outlook on the British, European and American securities - 6.5% reduction, 14% and 7.5%, respectively. Economists at Morgan Stanley believe that the UK's FTSE 100 Index will fall by 19%, and the European Euro Stoxx 50 Index - 14%. The greatest impact will consumer stocks and financial assets of the segment. Best of all health sector play and individual retail segments.
Experts from Charles Schwab & Co. give a prognosis: the US dollar will continue to grow steadily - investors will seek refuge in it against the background of the lack of decent alternatives. Raw materials will fall. Yuan will be subject to prolonged devaluation. Europe will export fewer Chinese goods. Talk about "hard landing" in China's economy will be even more intense traffic. However, many believe that in 3-4 months the stock can go back to their pervokvartalnym highs. So it was after the Japanese earthquake in March 2011, after a delay in the increase in the limit of debt in the US in August and after the start of the recession in the EU in 2012 - in all three cases, the paper fell by 11%, but then a few months later returned to the initial values.