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Main » 2016 » September » 9 » Blackrock. Natural disasters - portfolio risk
Blackrock. Natural disasters - portfolio risk



At the meeting the "Big Twenty" in China, the investment giant BlackRock ($ 4.9 trillion under control HAND ) unveiled a presentation on how natural disasters affect the income of the investor and the global economy as a whole - for AMarkets materials.




Climate catastrophes (global warming, floods, droughts, etc.). - Portfolio risk in its pure form, as well as a source of socio-economic risk in a broader sense. Experts give the following examples.When there is some kind of natural disaster, the next month of the affected country's economy sags GDP by 10-15% as a minimum. GDP is growing much more slowly in the interval six months after the disaster.


Another example - higher prices for hydrocarbons could reduce their use in industry. If prices are low, unprofitable companies to seek alternatives. They have it and do not look for. Blackrock Analysts are trying to assess climate risks for a particular company when making decisions about the purchase of its shares. For example, they believe carbohydrate orodnye emissions as a percentage of sales, and compare it with the average for the industry, assess the potential "shock" for corporate profits in the event of abrupt warming and drought.


Analysts say that companies that have already significantly reduced hydrocarbon emissions, or are actively working in this direction, show the best financial result in the dynamics than other companies from the same industry.



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