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EUR USD Euro Dollar "

Currency pair euro-dollar as a whole moves in accordance with the forecast. At the moment there are risks of downward movement. On the daily chart of the index values of the relative strength of met resistance in the form of a descending trend line. Expect a rebound from current levels. Also on the četyrehčasovom chart of the pair a razvorotnaâ model "head and shoulders". To fine-tune the model supports area 1.22. Can be considered aggressive selling euros from current levels with a stop above 1.2640. Increase of short positions are encouraged to probitiem level of 1.2430. The cancellation option will be the strong growth the euro above 1.2670.


EUR USD Euro Dollar "
Views: 833 | Added by: mik | Date: 14.06.2012 | Comments (0)

The market continued its growth. REA model began to rise in 1.2640. Today may decrease to 1.2540 continue developing momentum in the third wave. Further consolidation is expected and the formation of the TV under the refinement of 1.2800. This is conditional. A TV will give the level to which local enterprises and to increase the main waves.




Views: 746 | Added by: mik | Date: 14.06.2012 | Comments (0)

Despite the impending repeated parliamentary elections in Greece, which will be held this weekend, the degree of intensity is progressively shifting to Spain. It has become known today that the results for the first quarter housing prices fell 12.6% year-on-year. Against this background, the yield on the 10-year Spanish bonds reached 6.96%, which is an absolute record. If everything will continue at the same pace in the coming months the Government could be cut off from the debt markets.

Growth of yield on Spanish debt resulting from the country's downgrade by Moody's on three levels down to the level of Baa3. Below this level is the level that is defined as "trash" for any sovereign bonds. Its Eurobonds issued by the Pyrenees, and so was not a model of reliability, but now, with an a rating, they are really vysokoriskovannymi. In Moody's separately noted that did not exclude the need for Spain finpomoŝi already in the foreseeable future.

Views: 1375 | Added by: mik | Date: 14.06.2012 | Comments (0)

We continue to believe that long-term downtrend to 1.15-1.20 will be continued in the EUR/USD by the end of this year, but in the short term would originate, including that the euro might grow if regulators will be able to at least relax the debt crisis in Europe. On any substantial correction in EUR/USD we'd just talked until such time as, on the basis of one or more trading days will pass resistance 1.2625/50.
Views: 787 | Added by: mik | Date: 14.06.2012 | Comments (0)

Trading session on Wednesday also marked growth of activity. Majors remained in the band, and only the euro has shown a steady rise against the dollar. Obviously, the absence of a new portion of the negatives of the Eurozone have disposed the investors to profit fixation on long dollar positions against the euro. However, towards the end of the day there was information about another "attack" of the rating agencies in Spain that supported the dollar and helped him reduce losses against the euro and the pound sterling strengthened after trades.
Views: 836 | Added by: mik | Date: 14.06.2012 | Comments (0)

Submitted on Wednesday, disappointing economic data from the United States pointed to a drop in prices in the wholesale and drop in retail sales in May. Investors saw it as yet another signal for the FED, making possible announcement of next stage of quantitative easing. Gold benefits from mild policy because the metal is considered a tool to hedge against inflation and the weakening of paper currencies. In addition, the data put pressure on the United States dollar, which is also positive for gold dollars for accrued interest. However, fears about the eurozone was largely offset the impact of weak data on metal. Asylum-seekers, investors are turning to bonds United States and Germany, while gold, and limited the rise in prices.
Views: 916 | Added by: mik | Date: 14.06.2012 | Comments (0)

United States dollar until may continue to increase, and at the moment the risks are mixed.

 EUR/USD

 
Figure. 1. daily chart
 
The pair is traded below 1.2600. The RSI of the daily chart is in no man's land. From here, you have the following options for further development of the situation:
Views: 741 | Added by: mik | Date: 14.06.2012 | Comments (0)

Euro market has not yet been able to continue ascending movement. Although the market and tried not significantly update Lowe. But again formed a defensive level and output under the regular level of growth. In general it looks like a consolidation in a narrow range. And the shape resembles a diamond. Admit today continued consolidation within the shape and break up with ponedel′ničnye Hai.



Технический анализ на 14.06.2012 EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY

Views: 750 | Added by: mik | Date: 13.06.2012 | Comments (0)

Pound came. In the previous review I focused on essential technical analysis – cluster support levels. At the W1 chart (Figure 1). It's not every day that a price suitable to such levels. Remember, it was assumed that with high probability, a pair of $1,531 will be bought. That has happened.



Figure 1-week, gbpusd time frame

Views: 849 | Added by: mik | Date: 13.06.2012 | Comments (0)

Tuesday's session was the next stage of sluggish, maloaktivnoj Commerce, majors were in narrow side corridors. Obviously, the lack of significant macroeconomic and political plan news around the world prompted investors to take a vyžidaûŝie position. In addition, the reason for passivity are waiting for elections in Greece, the result of which was a big fear for the integrity of the Eurozone and therefore for the stability of a single European currency. Political events of the day, you can recall the statement by the head of the IMF's concern that the Eurozone debt crisis risks undermining the weak recovery of the world economy, since the risks for financial stability is increased.

 News from the United States, it is not much to report, IBD/TIPP has shown that economic optimism index in June fell to 46.7 to 48.5 in may, hitting the lowest level this year and optimism in small business by NFIB almost unchanged, noting the level of 94.4 when 94.5 in April. United States Treasury Department report showed further deficit in may, despite the fact that the tax revenues of the federal budget have reached the highest levels since the recession. The budget figure was 124.64 billion. against a deficit of 57.6 billion. dollars a year earlier, that in general it is expected – forecasts were level-125.00 billion. dollars. 

Views: 890 | Added by: mik | Date: 13.06.2012 | Comments (0)

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