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Dollar consolidates after the considerable strengthening of the United States, which increases the likelihood of the continuation of this trend.


Figure. 1. daily chart
The pair consolidated around mark 1.2700. The RSI of the daily chart is oversold. From here, you have the following options for further development of the situation:
Reduction of couples come to a halt, but risks remain decreases and in the near term still likely testing minimum 1.2625. Sure looks unlikely so far below the breakthrough due to strong oversold, but if the consolidation will continue, it will reduce the oversold and then break below 1.2625 pave the way in the 1.2000. If the same minimum 1.2625 stand, you can expect a big rebound or resistance to 1.3000 1.3100-1.3125, which were 100-and 50-day SMA.
Views: 764 | Added by: mik | Date: 17.05.2012 | Comments (0)


The dollar rose during the session on Tuesday amid reduced propensity to risk after final negotiations aimed at creating a coalition Government in Athens ended in failure. Other attempts by President Karolos Papoulias to create a technocratic caretaker Government also failed. The prospect of re-election and the probable victory of the left radical party Syriza called regular splash of negative financial markets, because now it is widely believed that this could give rise to events that will lead to the withdrawal of Greece from the euro zone and possible defaults.

Views: 687 | Added by: mik | Date: 17.05.2012 | Comments (0)

 Already 10 June in Greece may be "ordinary extraordinary» legislative election. If the Forex market, in anticipation of the date of the direction of movement of the EUR/USD may be entirely down that carries the risks of support and subsequent devaluations 1.2625 in 2kv2012, in the area of 1.20 and then lower to 1.15. Fundamentally, this all may be enclosed in an unspoken Exchange rule "sell EUR/USD in the expectations of the collapse of the euro area, buy on the fact."

 Risks attendant June elections in Athens we see the following:

Views: 726 | Added by: mik | Date: 16.05.2012 | Comments (0)

Negotiations on a coalition Government in Greece have not been successful, and now the country waiting for another parliamentary election, which may defeat the left parties favoured the abolition of austerity measures. This compromised the international financial support for the country and could provoke the withdrawal from the whole of the eurozone will have extremely negative consequences for the entire Monetary Union. This situation has a strong pressure on investors, forcing prefer cash at the expense of gold. The greatest demand for the US dollar, which has increased pressure on the metal, making it more expensive and less attractive for holders of other currencies.
Views: 750 | Added by: mik | Date: 16.05.2012 | Comments (0)

 United States dollar continues to strengthen, but it is overbought may limit the further development of this trend.
Views: 714 | Added by: mik | Date: 16.05.2012 | Comments (0)

United States dollar continues to strengthen in the ascending trend, but the probability of its spread in the near term remains high.


Figure. 1. daily chart
Views: 806 | Added by: mik | Date: 15.05.2012 | Comments (0)

 European Finance Ministers on Monday put pressure on Greece that it had formed a new Government and abided by the conditions for the granting of financial assistance. They warned that the country could be excluded from the European Union. Growth worries also helped decrease by Moody's credit ratings 26 Italian banks and exit weak eurozone industrial production data, which confirmed the expectation of reducing the region's GDP in the first quarter. This has increased fears for the future of the eurozone and has prompted investors to dispose of gold along with sensitive to economic growth assets, such as stocks and commodities. United States dollar as the currency of refuge, prodolživšijsâ, on Monday, also has had a negative impact on gold prices.
Views: 696 | Added by: mik | Date: 15.05.2012 | Comments (0)

Published on Friday from China gave new reasons for concern. Industrial production in the world's second largest economy has been below expectations, and lending growth slowed considerably more than expected. This led to another wave of non-United States dollar growth and risk, which have a negative impact on gold positions, makes it more expensive for holders of other currencies. The unabated fears about the eurozone. Greece and Spain remain the focus markets, because the further deterioration of the situation in these countries is threatening the financial stability of the region, leaving investors abandoning positions in gold for cash. Another reason for the fall in the price of the metal is weak physical demand. It is unlikely that the picture will change in the near term.

Views: 733 | Added by: mik | Date: 14.05.2012 | Comments (0)

United States dollar continues to gradually improve that, however, does not exclude the possibility of the spread of this trend in the near term.
Views: 793 | Added by: mik | Date: 14.05.2012 | Comments (0)

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