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Well, we are not prepared to believe the story that the United States close to QE3 even in the context of recent remarks by b. Bernanke, that "we do not rule out, we are ready to do more." As already stated, all the same we have heard 26 March that very briefly led the growth in S&P 500 and EUR/USD.

Trap is, in our view, at least in the earliest any spesific on new round of QE (likely QE sterilized) will be before the FED meeting 31 July.

 With regard to the meeting of the CENTRAL United States 19-20 June, by this time, apparently, su fails so seriously, to make FedRezerv Act, but we will point out some "confront" the US economy in 2kv2012, had hurt the appetite for risk. Ultimately, the June meeting of the investors can still wind up that uncertainty about QE3 more than specifics that eventually will cause a strong decline in the prices of risky assets in may or June (WTI, EUR, S&P 500, DAX, CAC).

Views: 866 | Added by: mik | Date: 30.04.2012 | Comments (0)

Dollar remains under pressure from the United States, and probably will continue to lose ground in the short term.
Views: 815 | Added by: mik | Date: 30.04.2012 | Comments (0)

the first part of the last week the market showed continued sluggish trading recently. Stagnation is waiting for such an important event as the announcement of the outcome of the FEDERAL RESERVE on the future of monetary policy. However, the FOMC meeting and the results submitted last Wednesday, is not provoked, in the moment, volatility. Directional activity against "green" was on the last day of the session. The dollar was in a wave of sales against European majors-fixed a small minus against the euro and the growing losses in a dispute with the British pound.
Views: 863 | Added by: mik | Date: 30.04.2012 | Comments (0)

First, I propose to look at the weekly schedule pair gbpusd (fig. 1.1). The schedule can be divided into 2 parts-the top and bottom. Moreover, they will be almost equal in area. Fibonacci level in 50% is relatively close to the key parts. The upper part is a little more than the bottom (for better visual perception I her zatemnil).

Views: 896 | Added by: mik | Date: 28.04.2012 | Comments (0)

EUR USD Euro Dollar "

Currency pair euro-dollar continues to move through the ascending channel. The immediate goal is growth area 1.3290. From there, expect the correction the pair down to the levels 1.3220. Total traffic on četyrëhčasovom graph is a symmetric model to 1.3370. You can consider buying euros from current levels. Stop in this case we recommend that you hide below 1.3150. The cancellation option will break through the bottom border of the ascending channel.
Views: 911 | Added by: mik | Date: 28.04.2012 | Comments (0)

Gold began rising curtain session on Wednesday and continued into Thursday after the head of the FEDERAL RESERVE Ben Bernanke did not rule out the possibility of the next phase of quantitative easing in the case if the economy begins to slow down. Just before the Fed's published statement reaffirmed the commitment of the sverhmâgkoj monetary policy. This was enough for metal prices, which tend to win in the face of low interest rates and high liquidity as investors see it as a means of hedging against United States dollar weakness and possible rising inflation, which can cause such a policy. It should also be noted that growth took place in conditions of extremely cautious weakening American dollar.
Views: 729 | Added by: mik | Date: 27.04.2012 | Comments (0)

United States dollar to refrain from a serious weakening and, in the near term could consolidate their positions.


The pair consolidated around mark 1.3200. The RSI of the daily chart is in no man's land. From here, you have the following options for further development of the situation:

The pair have not yet succeeded in steadily gaining a foothold above 50-day SMA, passing near the 1.3200. In this context, remain risks falling to the first 100-day SMA, passing about 1.3110 and then to support the 1.3000 with probable subsequent breakthrough towards minimum 1.2625. Only sustainable consolidation of above 50-day SMA confirmed development uptrend to soprotivleniâm 1.3385 and 1.3485 where got 200-day SMA.
Views: 803 | Added by: mik | Date: 27.04.2012 | Comments (0)

At a session Thursday of continued weak activity, but most of the time the bears prevailed to "on" baksu» start trend against the US currency. Apparently, b. Bernanke, that cannot be ruled out the likelihood of the next stage of easing monetary policy have a small market optimism, and against this background, the Green fell to new local minimums against European majors. However, poor economic statistics of the euro area has helped offset the dollar losses and close the last session in neutral the euro and with a little less on the pound. The same with Jena dollar experienced pressure sales almost the whole trading day, which probably was dictated by reduced yields of štatovskih "trežeris".
Views: 910 | Added by: mik | Date: 27.04.2012 | Comments (0)

Publication of the judgements of the FED about the prospects of monetary policy had not changed the hand force in the market. Main currency pairs were traded within the range, and a splash of activity manifested only during the press conference, b. Bernanke. The FED statement indicated the intention to maintain interest rates at current minimumah until the end of 2014, but at the same time it was and that the number of heads štatovskogo CB prediction stakes before 2014, has increased. In addition, new projections of FOMC MINUTES on employment and GDP growth for the year were more optimistic than in January. However, for the following periods, 2013 -2014 years, expectations for economic growth revised downward.
Views: 843 | Added by: mik | Date: 26.04.2012 | Comments (0)

In its statement, the members of the open market Committee of the FED highlighted improvements in the housing market and expectations of faster economic growth, but also referred to the growing risks to the world's financial markets, with the European debt crisis. The FED reported that fewer leaders, predicting that the Central Bank will keep rates low until the end of 2014. Their opinion was due to expectations of increasing inflationary pressures. Similar to the tone of the statement had had a negative impact on gold, because they do not point to the possibility of further stimulation. However, this gap fill Bernanke during his speech.
Views: 763 | Added by: mik | Date: 26.04.2012 | Comments (0)

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