Byron Wien published 10 surprises that can confront the market this year. I must say that the vice-president of Blackstone makes the selection surprises for investors every new year has been for 31 years (since 1986) - based on AMarkets.
1. Clinton wins, and the Senate once again moves into the hands of Democrats. 2. The US stock market fall in 2016. 3. Fed raise rates once in 2016 (25 basis points). 4. Foreign investors will withdraw from US assets. 5.China will suffer from the new force. GDP growth below 5%. 6. The EU finally mark a split in views about policy making refugees. 7. Oil will fluctuate at the level of $ 30. 8. Bubbles in housing markets in New York and London to collapse. 9. The yield on 10-year Treasuries will be lower than 2.5%. 10. The total global GDP growth will be less than 2%.